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PUB Uncertainty Working Group 7

Uncertainty Estimation for Hydrological Modeling

 

Objective

 

The main task of this WG is to stimulate progress and guidance on uncertainty estimation and model evaluation (diagnostics) theory and techniques for hydrological science and for operational use. The fundamental science questions are:

 

(a) How can we (explicitly) estimate and propagate all sources of uncertainty in hydrological modeling?

 

(b) What is an appropriate framework for (model/method) evaluation under uncertainty?

 

Members (currently incomplete list)

 

Beven Keith   K.Beven@lancaster.ac.uk

Blazkova Sarka   sarka_blazkova@vuv.cz

Casper Markus   casper@uni-trier.de

Clark Martyn   mp.clark@niwa.co.nz

Diodato Nazzareno   scodalabdiodato@gmail.com

Feyen Luc   luc.feyen@geo.kuleuven.ac.be

Freer Jim   j.freer@lancaster.ac.uk

Goetzinger Jens   Jens.Goetzinger@iws.uni-stuttgart.de

Gupta Hoshin   hoshin.gupta@hwr.arizona.edu

Iorgulescu Ion   Ion.Iorgulescu@epfl.ch

Jackson Bethania   b.m.Jackson@imperial.ac.uk

Kolberg Sjur   Sjur.Kolberg@sintef.no

Lischeid Gunnar   gunnar.liescheid@bitoek.uni-bayreuth.de

Liu Yuqiong   Yuqiong.Liu@noaa.gov

McIntyre Neil   n.mcintyre@imperial.ac.uk

Meixner Tom   tmeixner@hwr.arizona.edu

Menzel Lucas   menzel@pik-potsdam.de

Montanari Alberto   alberto.montanari@unibo.it

Reichert Peter   reichert@eawag.ch

Rientjes Tom   rientjes@itc.nl

Schaefli Bettina   b.schaefli@tudelft.nl

Schulz Karsten   k2.schulz@tu-bs.de

Smith Paul   p.j.smith@lancs.ac.uk

Vandenberghe Vero vero@biomath.ugent.be

Vrugt Jasper vrugt@lanl.go

Wagener Thorsten   thorsten@engr.psu.edu

Wheater Howard   h.wheater@imperial.ac.uk

Wriedt Gunter   gunter.wriedt@ufz.de

Young Peter   p.young@lancaster.ac.uk

Zehe Erwin   ezehe@rz.uni-potsdam.de

 

WG Publications

 

Wagener, T., Freer, J., Zehe, E., Beven, K., Gupta, H.V., Bardossy, A., and 20 co-authors. 2006. Towards an uncertainty framework for predictions in ungauged basins: The uncertainty working group. In Sivapalan, M., Wagener, T., Uhlenbrook, S., Zehe, E., Lakshmi, V., Liang, X., Tachikawara, Y. and Kumar, P. (eds.) Predictions in ungauged basins (PUB): Promise and progress. IAHS Redbook, No. 303, 454-462.

 

WG Activities

 

Workshop, “Towards Improved Evaluation and Diagnostics of Hydrological and Environmental Models

Bertinoro, Italy, 2007

 

Bertinoro Workshop Picture.JPG

 

Workshop, “Uncertainty Analysis in Environmental Modeling”

Lugano, Italy, 2006

http://www.es.lancs.ac.uk/hfdg/uncertainty_workshop/uncert_intro.htm

 

Picture of Workshop Participants